Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2958 · DCA → MSP
departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 1:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↑
12pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
DCA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
DCA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.