Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2992 · MIA → RDU
departs 6:28 PM ET · arrives 8:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.