Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 561 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 561 · MKE → MSP

departs 12:07 PM CT · arrives 1:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 561 · MKE → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?