Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1015 · SJU → PHL
departs 6:44 AM AT · arrives 10:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.