Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1015 · SJU → PHL
departs 6:44 AM AT · arrives 10:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SJU are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.08 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 5,333 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.