Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2912 · ATL → TPA
departs 5:14 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 22%
Thu 10/8 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±4 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.