Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2912 · ATL → TPA
departs 4:04 PM ET · arrives 5:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 56%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 22%
Thu 10/8 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±2 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.