Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4211 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

F9 4211 · ATL → AUS

departs 11:11 AM ET · arrives 12:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4211 · ATL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?