Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 4353 · PHL → CLT
departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 5:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 50%
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5 35%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 27%
Thu 10/8 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.