Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
F9 4602 · ATL → EWR
departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 1:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 60%
Mon 10/5 35%
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at EWR that day
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.