Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3468 · CLL → DFW
departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 11:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave CLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLL that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
CLL usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from CLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.77 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.