Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3468 · CLL → DFW
departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 11:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at CLL that day
↓
CLL usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from CLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.42 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.