Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3468 · CLL → DFW
departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 11:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave CLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLL that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
CLL usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from CLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.23 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.