Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3539 · GPT → DFW
departs 11:27 AM CT · arrives 1:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 56%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↓
11am departures from GPT are usually not late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GPT (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.