Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3539 · GPT → DFW
departs 11:24 AM CT · arrives 1:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±8 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.9 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
11am departures from GPT are usually not late
Weather at each end
GPT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.72 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.