Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3566 · TLH → MIA
departs 5:31 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
24%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave TLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at TLH that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TLH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TLH (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.