Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3605
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3605 · MIA → JAX
departs 5:39 PM ET · arrives 7:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 21%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.75 mi, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
5pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.