Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
MQ 3741 · ORD → PIA
departs 8:08 AM CT · arrives 9:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to PIA?
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On time or early
75%
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15–30 min late
5%
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30 min–1 hour late
10%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.