Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3788
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3788 · SDF → DFW
departs 11:09 AM ET · arrives 12:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
22%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at SDF that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
11am departures from SDF are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.