Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3795 · DFW → SGF
departs 1:40 PM CT · arrives 3:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late
↓
SGF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.