Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3795 · DFW → SGF
departs 2:02 PM CT · arrives 3:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.