Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3885
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3885 · CRP → DFW
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 17%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from CRP are usually not late
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 1,200 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.11 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.