Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3885
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3885 · CRP → DFW
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.67 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.