Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3981
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
MQ 3981 · ORD → AVL
departs 8:10 AM CT · arrives 11:09 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to AVL?
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On time or early
81%
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15–30 min late
7%
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30 min–1 hour late
4%
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1–2 hours late
4%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.