Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4054 · CLT → GSO
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at GSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Arrivals into GSO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
GSO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.