Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4054 · CLT → GSO
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at GSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at GSO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
GSO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.54 in
GSO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.