Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4082
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4082 · GSO → MIA
departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GSO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.