Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4082
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4082 · GSO → MIA
departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at GSO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GSO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.10 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.