Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4085
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4085 · CMH → MIA
departs 6:19 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 26%
Thu 10/8 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.25 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.