Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4100
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4100 · CRP → DFW
departs 9:01 AM CT · arrives 10:38 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from CRP are usually not late
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.