Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4120
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4120 · MLU → DFW
departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 7:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MLU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MLU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.07 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.