Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4120
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4120 · MLU → DFW
departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 7:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MLU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MLU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.