tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5106 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5106 · DCA → BUF

departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
54% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BUF?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    26%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.