Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5162 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5162 · DAY → DCA

departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAY (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.54 in

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5162 · DAY → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?