Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5162SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
OH 5162 · DAY → DCA
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 142h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±5 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.