Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5204 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5204 · DCA → GSP

departs 10:41 AM ET · arrives 12:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into GSP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

GSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5204 · DCA → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?