Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5229 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5229 · ILM → DCA

departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 9:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
26%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5229 · ILM → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?