Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5269 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5269 · CLT → MEM

departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MEM that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MEM usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5269 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?