Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5373 SCHEDULED

Friday, October 2

OH 5373 · DCA → MSN

departs 9:10 PM ET · arrives 10:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DCA that day

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

MSN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5373 · DCA → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?