Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5423 LANDED 9:42 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

OH 5423 · DCA → MCI

took off 8:25 PM ET · landed 9:42 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±1 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5423 · DCA → MCI

Odds over time