Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5423 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5423 · DCA → TUL

departs 1:39 PM ET · arrives 3:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at TUL that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.40 in

TUL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5423 · DCA → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?