Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5636 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5636 · PHL → DCA

departs 3:29 PM ET · arrives 4:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5636 · PHL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?