Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5646 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5646 · MKE → DCA

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 9:11 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5646 · MKE → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?