Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 3734 · AUS → TPA
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −22 pts in 24h
−22 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.42 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.