Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 3734 · AUS → TPA
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.13 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.