Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4806
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4806 · DEN → FAT
departs 3:57 PM MT · arrives 5:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.