Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5058 · VCT → IAH
departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 6:13 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VCT that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
VCT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.12 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.