Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5058 · VCT → IAH
departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 6:13 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at VCT
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
VCT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.28 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.