Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5058 · VCT → IAH
departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 6:13 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
VCT (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.