Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5502
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5502 · MRY → SFO
departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 8:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 32%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MRY that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MRY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.